Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000977 0.001108 0.001246 0.001402 0.001572 0.001753 0.001958
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000734 0.000910 0.001109 0.001348 0.001626 0.001937 0.002309
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000607 0.000801 0.001030 0.001317 0.001663 0.002064 0.002559
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000522 0.000729 0.000983 0.001312 0.001722 0.002210 0.002829
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000458 0.000672 0.000945 0.001310 0.001778 0.002347 0.003085
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000399 0.000616 0.000902 0.001294 0.001810 0.002453 0.003302
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000348 0.000563 0.000855 0.001269 0.001826 0.002535 0.003487
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000320 0.000541 0.000849 0.001295 0.001907 0.002698 0.003778
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000295 0.000518 0.000839 0.001315 0.001979 0.002852 0.004058
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000261 0.000480 0.000803 0.001294 0.001993 0.002927 0.004236
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000231 0.000443 0.000767 0.001270 0.002000 0.002991 0.004399
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000213 0.000425 0.000757 0.001283 0.002059 0.003125 0.004656
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000197 0.000409 0.000749 0.001298 0.002122 0.003269 0.004935
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000172 0.000375 0.000711 0.001267 0.002117 0.003317 0.005082
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000150 0.000343 0.000673 0.001232 0.002103 0.003352 0.005209
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000136 0.000325 0.000656 0.001229 0.002136 0.003451 0.005428
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000123 0.000308 0.000640 0.001227 0.002169 0.003552 0.005651
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000110 0.000288 0.000618 0.001212 0.002181 0.003621 0.005828
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000097 0.000267 0.000591 0.001188 0.002178 0.003667 0.005973
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000092 0.000261 0.000593 0.001212 0.002251 0.003828 0.006287
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000255 0.000592 0.001231 0.002317 0.003979 0.006587
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000238 0.000569 0.001211 0.002317 0.004030 0.006742
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000221 0.000546 0.001188 0.002312 0.004071 0.006882